Italy vs Greece – Betting Tips and EURO 2020 QL Preview

Home >> Blog >> Tips>> Italy vs Greece - 12/10/2019
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  • Venue: Olimpico
  • Friday: October 12th, 19:45
  • Referee : Sergei Karasev
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Home 2/11
Draw 5/1
Away 18/1
Bookie's rating
6/6
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It is “do or die” for the Greek team, who might be eliminated from EURO after this match. Four games before the end of the qualifiers, they are seven points behind Finland and aren’t looking good on the field at all. Meanwhile, Azzuri are masterful, and it seems that the Italian national team is coming back among the elite sooner than anyone expected. Roberto Mancini found the formula for this crew.

The Italian team really started playing well over the last few months. The proof of that is their perfect record in Group J, where they have 18 points in six matches and a goal difference of 18-3. After a long time, we’ve seen the Italians efficient, productive, and above all dominant on the field. We can’t say that their team had some top opponents, but Bosnia and Herzegovina and Greece aren’t easy too. All those six matches in the group stage saw at least three goals, and in all of them, the Azzuri have scored at least twice. In general, they haven’t lost in the latest ten contests, and that should be a good reason to keep an eye on these guys.

We believe that alongside Serbia, Greece is the biggest disappointment of the entire EURO 2020 qualifications. Just five points in six matches are a terrible record for the former European champions, who have been struggling a lot over the last few months. They haven’t won the latest six games and have suffered a huge sensation at home playing 1-1 against Liechtenstein. Before that, the Greek team had five defeats in a row, among them at home to Armenia, 2-3. So, it is really terrible to be their fan these days. The football association tried to change something, and they appointed John Van’t Schip as the new head coach. However, he didn’t bring anything positive so far.

Previous 5 Meetings
08.06.19 Greece 0:3 Italy EUR
19.11.08 Greece1:1 Italy FI
14.11.81 Italy1:1 Greece WC
06.12.80 Greece0:2 Italy WC
25.03.34 Italy4:0 Greece WC

Team News

Stefano Sensi isn’t in the squad after he suffered an injury in Serie A derby between Inter and Juve this weekend. Giovani Di Lorenzo is the new player on the team, while Nicolo Zaniolo comes back after a pause.

Greek lineup will be different from the ones before and be sure about that. Yet, with all the turmoils in their team, we can’t be sure who will start and what kind of surprises will be included.

Italy to win Euro Qualifiers Group J

Prediction

Italy is in better shape, is in better form, and is playing at home. So, betting on their win should be without any risk. Yet the odds on that are just too low and aren’t tempting. Because of that, we will be aggressive and chase for Italian’s win with an Asian handicap -1.5 goals. Bet365 has the best odds on the entire market for that, and with 13/20 really stands above others.

The Italians are looking eager to score in each game they played so far. Simply, Mancini brought that offensive mentality, and he won’t change anything in this match. From the time he used to lead Man City, he developed a sense of hitting rival’s weak spots and be sure that Italy will hurt Greece as much as possible. Because of that, we would propose one, at first sight, risky bet – Italy to score over 2.5 goals. Betway’s odds are at 6/5 for this.

Best Odds For Our Tips

6/5

Italy to score over 2.5 goals

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13/20

Italy to win with an Asian handicap -1.5 goals

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Thomas O'Brien

A historian by profession and all-round sports nut, Thomas is the person behind our blog keeping you up to date on the latest in world sports. Make sure you also check out his weekly tips and Premier League predictions!

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