Supercomputer tips Arsenal to edge City as promoted trio face drop in 2026–27
With the new Premier League season just around the corner, the boffins have cranked up the algorithms and spat out a full 2026–27 table. The headline? Arsenal to keep their crown, Manchester City breathing down their necks, Liverpool and Chelsea punching their Champions League tickets, and the three newly promoted clubs braced for a long, cold winter.
In black and white: Arsenal (88) to finish three clear of City (85), Liverpool third on 74, Chelsea fourth with 70; at the bottom, Ipswich (32), Coventry (27) and Hull (19) all tipped to tumble straight back down.
These projections come via a Compare.bet supercomputer that simulated the campaign 10,000 times, leaning on Elo ratings, sentiment analysis, betting market signals and historical trends. If you’re weighing up the markets yourself, have a look at the latest prices across the best betting sites and decide if the machine’s nailed it or lost the plot.
The title race: Gunners to go back-to-back
Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal, fresh off ending the long wait for a title, are fancied to go again. The model has them at 88 points, edging new-look Manchester City under Enzo Maresca on 85. It’s a proper one-two punch: Arsenal’s defensive steel and slick patterns versus City’s inevitable churn under fresh management. If you’re City, second is hardly a crisis, but it does say the post-Guardiola bedding-in won’t be seamless.
Champions League chase: Reds and Blues rebound
Liverpool, now under Andoni Iraola, are pencilled in for third on 74 points — progress, but still a stride or two behind the title duo. Chelsea, with Xabi Alonso at the wheel, are backed to put last season’s chaos in the rear-view and land fourth on 70. That would be quite the course correction after the managerial merry-go-round of 2025–26.
Top half movers and shakers
Aston Villa keep climbing the mountain — Europa League winners and Champions League qualifiers last term, they’re forecast fifth with 67. Manchester United, rejuvenated under Michael Carrick’s late-season surge, are pegged back to sixth on 63 — competitive, but shy of a true title tilt just yet.
Newcastle (7th, 60) and Tottenham (8th, 57) are predicted to steady the ship after underwhelming years — sizeable praise for Spurs given Roberto De Zerbi only just steered them clear of the abyss on the final day. Brighton (9th, 54) and Crystal Palace (10th, 51) round out a top half that looks balanced but brutal.
Bottom half: Cherries regroup, Bees dip
Bournemouth lose talismanic boss Andoni Iraola to Liverpool and hand the reins to Marco Rose; the machine says 11th with 49 — a sensible consolidation after last season’s dizzying Europa League qualification. Brentford, under Keith Andrews, are tipped to slide to 12th on 47. Fulham (13th, 45) and Everton (14th, 43) get more of the same: steady, occasionally spiky, but nothing to have the open-top bus on standby.
Survival scrap: Leeds, Forest, Sunderland cling on
Leeds are forecast 15th on 40, Nottingham Forest under Oliver Glasner take 16th on 38, and Sunderland — Europa-bound thanks to a stunning seventh last term — are picked to sweat it out but survive in 17th on 35. There’s a lesson there: Europe’s Thursday-Sunday slog can chew up a thin squad quicker than you can say hamstring scan.
The drop: promoted trio in trouble
The algorithm shows no mercy to the new boys. Ipswich Town, now with Gary O’Neil after Kieran McKenna stepped aside, are backed to fight but fall in 18th with 32. Coventry City, champions under Frank Lampard, are slated for 19th on 27. Hull City, play-off victors over Middlesbrough, prop up the pile with 19. It’s ruthless stuff — and worth remembering that last season all three promoted sides were tipped to go, but only Burnley actually did.
Quickfire predicted table highlights
– 1 Arsenal — 88 points
– 2 Manchester City — 85
– 3 Liverpool — 74
– 4 Chelsea — 70
– 5 Aston Villa — 67
– 6 Manchester United — 63
– 7 Newcastle — 60
– 8 Tottenham — 57
– 9 Brighton — 54
– 10 Crystal Palace — 51
– 11 Bournemouth — 49
– 12 Brentford — 47
– 13 Fulham — 45
– 14 Everton — 43
– 15 Leeds — 40
– 16 Nottingham Forest — 38
– 17 Sunderland — 35
– 18 Ipswich — 32
– 19 Coventry — 27
– 20 Hull — 19
Method and mileage may vary
No model sees everything — injuries, January jolts, breakout stars — but this one’s grounded in form, numbers and market temperature. File it under informed guesswork with a sharp edge. If nothing else, it frames the debates we’ll be chewing over from August to May.
Key dates
Circle them: the 2026–27 Premier League kicks off on 21 August and wraps on 30 May, 2027. Strap in — if this forecast’s even half-right, we’re in for a classic.
