Peru vs. Brazil – Betting Tips and Copa America Preview

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  • Venue: Arena Corinthians
  • Thursday: June 22nd 20:00
  • Referee: Fernando Rapallini
League form:
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Home 8/1
Draw 4/1
Away 1/3
Bookie's rating
6/6
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Brazil has no room for any excuses, as Tite’s boys might suffer elimination from Copa America. That would be a one of a kind sensation because this country is the host of the competition. They aren’t playing well, and if there could be a better moment to rise to the occasion, that would be this one. Meanwhile, Peru is in a situation to make one massive success. If they manage to beat Brazil and progress to the knockout stage, that will stay forever written in the history books of this South American country. Still, the chances are small, but they do exist. After all, Peru defeated Brazil at Copa America 2016.

Peru came here after mixed results in the preparation period. Subsequent wins and losses were recorded, but there were several characteristics during that run. The first one is the low efficiency, as six of the previous nine matches saw under 2.5 goals. Also, in the latest 10 events, seven saw both teams not to score. It means that the Peruvians rely upon a strong defence, without too many attacking options, as they often lose if not score first. On the other hand, if they manage to obtain the lead, their game becomes ultra-defensive. The only chance for them to advance to the second round without a win is for Venezuela not to triumph against Bolivia, which is hard to believe, to be honest.

The fans of Selecao are getting more and more frustrated. They are very disappointed with the way their favourites perform and are already showing that displeasure. Brazil hasn’t lost in latest 12 matches, recording 10 wins and only 2 draws, but still, their games at Copa America were without confidence and quality. A goalless draw against Venezuela is our main proof for that. Yes, the Brazilians did dominate, but couldn’t score, and that is what counts here. What is the positive side of their game is the defence. Tite’s guys haven’t allowed a single goal in the past four games, and when looking further back in the past, they have 8 clean sheets in previous 10 events.

Previous 5 Meetings
16.11.16 Peru 0:2 Brazil WC
13.06.16 Brazil 0:1 Peru CA
18.11.15 Brazil 3:0 Peru WC
14.06.15 Brazil 2:1 Peru CA
02.04.09 Brazil 3:0 Peru WC

Team News

Carrillo, Zambrano, Renato Tapia, and Paulo Guerrero have to watch out for the same reason. Especially Guerrero, who is the leading star of this crew.

Casemiro got the yellow card against Venezuela, while Coutinho has one from the game with Bolivia, and these two have to be careful. If Brazil advances to the quarterfinals, their presence there would be vital.

Prediction

Brazil has nothing to wait here. Therefore, no thinking or doubting in this case, Selecao simply has to win. It is maybe the safest bet of the day, having in mind their “do or die” situation. The nation and the players aren’t willing to suffer another football catastrophe, and we believe that their motivation for this game is going to hit the ceiling. Odds on this are not super-high, but the risk is low. Sky Bet offers 4/11 here, and we will take it.

Regarding goals and efficiency, we aren’t going to see some fireworks here, as we already mentioned that in this preview. Peru will try to defend as long as they can, an on the other hand, when they crack, Brazil isn’t going to lose too much energy on some demolition. As we saw, they slow down when having a comfortable lead. If you think that the guests might score, rule out that option, Selecao has far better defenders than Peru’s strikers, with all due respect towards Guerrero. Because of that, we are suggesting a moderate efficiency, 2 or 3 goals. Bet365 doubles your money here.

Best Odds For Our Tips

4/11

Brazil to Win

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1/1

2 or 3 goals

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Thomas O'Brien

A historian by profession and all-round sports nut, Thomas is the person behind our blog keeping you up to date on the latest in world sports. Make sure you also check out his weekly tips and Premier League predictions!

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